Timing Solution Techniques - directions for new users
updated September, 2009
Here I will introduce the most important techniques in Timing Solution as I see it now (September, 2009). This system is constantly developing; this is the reason why we constantly switch accents on different techniques. Take this article as a recommendation for new users to avoid "analysis paralysis" while facing the abundance of different techniques presented in Timing Solution. I use the models described below in 80% of all cases, so I recommend to start with them.
You can find the fast introduction to Timing Solution here: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/E/
ULE - Universal Language of Events
This is the basis of Timing Solution software. Practically all models including the most advanced ones are based on ULE.
As an example, you can easily calculate the periods when Mercury (or any other planet) has been or is supposed to be retrograde:
Or calculate "retrograde index" - that shows how many retrograde planets are in the sky in any given moment:
Or calculate the tidal force for any place on the Earth:
Or show all conjunctions (or any other aspects) that were formed in the sky:
and many many other events. We constantly add new events to ULE module, and the most important thing is that we can generate the projection line based on these ULE events.
This is just one recent example: this year somebody has stated that some astrological event affects the stock market. This event is: Planet A applies to the planet B and separates from the planet C. To be more specific, consider this example as the Sun applying to Venus and separating from Saturn, i.e. the angle separation between the Sun and Venus is decreasing (applying aspect) while the Sun and Saturn's angle is increasing (separation). The program allows to see all time periods when this event takes place and compare it to any data set (like price charts). The most important feature of Timing Solution software is the possibility to use ULE events in Neural Network module and create forecasts/projection lines based on these events. And this is extremely easy! As an example, you need just a few mouse clicks to create the list of all possible planetary combinations in regards to the event discussed above:
Several minutes more - and the Neural Network module generates the projection line based on these applying/separating aspects:
To become more familiar with ULE, please see these classes:
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Classes/class_ule_1.htm
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Classes/class_ule_2.htm
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Classes/class_ule_3.htm
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Classes/class_ule_4.htm
Annual Cycle
When analyzing daily data, always start with Annual Cycle. Just set this
option ON, and the program itself displays the Annual Cycle:
Another very useful option is Annual committee; it is here:
I recommend to use the committee technique to see all possible variants of the projection line based on Annual cycle:
The picture above shows the red line - a projection line based on last 2 years of data history, and the blue line - the projection line based on all available history for Dow starting from 1885 year.
You can find the detailed description of committee technique here: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Mini/12/index.htm
This approach is very important,. For example, it helped to understand where the economy was going in November 2008. Then the stock market was "looking for" the new point of equilibrium. It seemed like the stock market has started to "remember" its old patterns. The projection line based on more than 100 years Dow history provided then better results than the projection line based on several preceding years. Couple of years ago I would not recommend to use too many price history data to calculate the projection line, as I used to analyze then four last years (which makes one Presidential cycle). But now the situation is changing, and we have to look deeper in the history to figure out where we are now. A committee technique allows to watch at the models from different perspectives - shot term (a red curve on the picture above) and long term (a blue curve).
Optimized Bradley
Bradley siderograph is a very simple and effective forecasting model. You can run it here:
I would recommend to apply it together with the committee technique. I will show you how to do that.
Let say that we would like to look at the projection line based on the aspects in respect to different time data sets. We can consider several years of Dow Jones Industrial history when some modern financial instruments have been formed (like CDS that was approved by the Congress around Christmas in the year 2000) and all available DJI history from the year 1885.
This technology is described here: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Mini/12/index.htm#2
These are step by step procedures to obtain Bradley committee (just pictures):
a) Set Learning Border Cursor on the last price bar to get a final forecast:
b) run Bradley module:
c) download Classical model:
d) open "Optimization panel":
e) calculate committee:
f) all projection lines are in the Main screen now:
Turbo Cycles (Advanced version of TS)
This module generates the projection line based on dominant cycles. This is
how the output of this module looks like:
It displays the period of dominant cycles and the projection line based on them. I recommend to run two (at least) Turbo Cycles modules and run them with different SM2 parameters:
Here I run two Turbo Cycles modules with SM2=1 and SM2=5. The first (red) project line reflects latest tendencies while the second (blue) line reflect more long term factors:
You can disable/enable any of these cycles or use your own cycle.
Spectrum model
We can identify the dominant cycles and generate the projection line based on these dominant cycles manually.
This technology is described here: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/E/4.htm
Follow these steps.
a) run Spectrum module:
b) click the mouse on the peaks that correspond to the strongest dominant cycles:
c) drag the mouse from the list of extracted cycles to the Main screen:
or you can get the same result clicking on this button:
See results yourself.
Turning Points Analyzer
This module allows to reveal support/resistance levels from the statistical point of view. Clicking this button:
you will get this
colored diagram:
Read this diagram this way: if August 28, 2009 is a TOP turning point
(9630.20), the red stripes on this diagram represent the most probable levels
for the next BOTTOM turning point.
From the other side, if August 28, 2009 is not a turning point yet, set the
"Force" option OFF:
And the program will display the resistance levels for the most probable TOP turning point:
The program calculates these high probability zones analyzing zigzag proportions, so if the price history is not enough to provide the statistical analysis, we recommend to decrease the critical zigzag swing:
Charting Tools
I think this is the most used part of Timing Solution software. However, it is very difficult for me to specify what charting tools are more/less important.
I recommend to read first this article regarding these techniques: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/ts_charting_tools/index.htm
Try Advanced and Astro Based charting tools. You can easily find Andrew's pitchfork, Fibonacci ellipses practically in any charting software, while Advanced and Astro Based charting tools are presented in Timing Solution only.
Afterword
The described above methods are only a part of what is available in the program. However, they cover the most basic techniques. Sure you need to spend some time learning all related materials on the website, and I strongly recommend you to do so. This shortened description was written with one purpose only - to save you several hours of studies in the very beginning and give you a start making you able to work with the program immediately. I hope it helps in our very turbulent time.
November 22, 2008 - Updated August 31, 2009
Sergey Tarasov
Toronto, Canada